Thursday, August 30, 2007

A Look At the QQQQs

While I usually look at the SPYs, there are of course other markets. One of the constant refrains I read in investment letters is large technology companies look interesting largely because they don't buy mortgages. There are some other reasons for liking this sector. So, here are three charts of the QQQQs.

The first is a 4-year weekly chart. Like the SPYs, this index traded in a wide, upward-sloping channel for the last roughly 4 years. However, the market broke out of this channel earlier this year. If spiked above the upper-channel line and has since dropped back to test this support.



Here is a 3-month daily chart. Notice where the arrow is, right after 8/13. These was a lot of volume on this day and a hanging man candle stick. This indicates this day was a short-term selling climax for the QQQQs. The index rose from there, moving back through the upper-trend line referenced in the above analysis. Since then the index has dropped to that level again, retested and moved higher.



Finally, here is the same 3-month chart with moving averages added. Notice the above mentioned hanging man/high volume day also occurred just above the 200-day SMA. In other words the index fell to a standard technical support line, held and moved higher. The 10-day SMA is about to move through the 20-day SMA which is another bullish indicator. Finally, the recent price action may be enough to start moving the 20-day SMA higher.



Short version -- this index is starting to look very interesting.